NHL · historical probability evaluation

Performance reports

Reviewed archived pregame probabilities versus official final results. Coverage is shown for each evaluated slate.

2026-10-31

6/10 games with graded forecasts (60% coverage) · Historical evaluation, not live predictions

Incomplete forecast coverage: 4 games have no archived pregame forecast and are not graded. Read the coverage limitation before interpreting the scores.

Over 5.5 Brier0.2068
Over 6.5 Brier0.2330
50/50 Brier reference0.2500

2026-10-29

11/11 games with graded forecasts (100% coverage) · Historical evaluation, not live predictions

Over 5.5 Brier0.2350
Over 6.5 Brier0.2781
50/50 Brier reference0.2500